The housing market is improving for 2012!!

Happy New Year and welcome to 2012!  Finally we are starting to see some improvements in the national housing market.  I was listening to the radio this morning and heard that more and more jobs are being created so fewer and fewer people are unemployed.  This also means that more people can afford to stay in their homes and not go into foreclosure.  It also means that more people can afford to purchase homes…. see how it’s all coming together!?

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) has also released numbers that indicate that for the second month in a row pending home sales are up.  Builders are starting to build more and home prices are stabilizing.  What does this mean for you?  Each real estate transaction is different, especially in Austin.  Call me to discuss your real estate plans for 2012 or even 2013.

Rates on 30- year mortgages fall below 4%- Again!

People, 30 year mortgage interest rates have fallen below 4% again.  If you are waiting for the bottom of the Austin real estate market, you probably won’t find it.  Most people don’t know the bottom has hit until it has already past. 

I think that home prices will increase over the next year, especially in the popular areas like Crestview, Travis Heights, Tarrytown, Bouldin, Allendale, Hyde Park, etc.  I also think home prices will increase in Circle C, Avery Ranch, Steiner Ranch, and some of the other large communities.

I just did some quick math on a 30 year FHA loan.  This is a rough estimate, and you need to talk to a lender about actual numbers… I happen to know some lenders that can help.  BUT, let’s image you purchase a home in Austin for $280,000 (that’s about the average price). Let’s pretend you get an FHA loan for 30 years with 3.5% down payment and 4% interest rate, you would have a rough payment (principle, interest, taxes, and insurance) of $2303 per month.  Doing the same math at 5% interest rate, it would roughly be $2465.  That’s a savings of $162 per month or $1944 per year or $58,320 over the life of the loan.  So I ask, What are you waiting for?!

Those people that want to sell their homes can make up losses on price by buying low at a low interest rate.  Call Bob at 512-699-0786

Texas Ahead

Texas State Comptroller’s office has a great website to check in on the economic forecast for the state of Texas.  It has information about demographics, work force, and housing.  We keep hearing that the national housing market is pretty flat, but Texas housing is still strong.  In fact, the Austin housing market is strong.  Take a look at the website at http://www.texasahead.org/insight/housing.html 

Here is some info that it provides:

1.  Texas is affordable.  A 2006 census study shows that the median home price was $114,00.  That is the least expensive of the the top 10 most populous states!

2.  An article from Forbes in 2007 shows that Austin and Dallas are 2 of the most affordable cities despite rapid growth.

3.  In 2008, Texas was one of the only states that saw a decrease in foreclosures. 

Check out the website for more info.  Texas is a great place to live.  Austin is a great place to live in a great state.  Join me and about 60-65% of Texans and buy a home.  I’ll help you do it!  Bob 512-699-0786

Low Interest Rates

I was on BankRate.com today to check out the interest rates on 30 year mortgages, and they seem to be even lower than they have been.  The site quoted 4.42% on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage.  I know people are still nervous about buying and selling real estate, but it just seems silly to me.  Of course, there are exceptions, but Austin has a great real estate market.  Austin has a great job market compared to the rest of the nation. 

It’s time to sell your home and move up or move down or move all around.  Call me to get started.  Bob 512-699-0786

Downtown Austin Condos

The Austin American Statesman reported that the W Hotel and Residences in downtown Austin has had some success in condos sold.  Many people have been speculating for several years about the popularity of downtown Austin condos and whether or not they will succeed.

 

The W Hotel and Residences has reported that 40 of its 159 condos have sold while another 46 units are under contract.  These numbers do not coincide with what we have heard directly from them.  We have shown a lot of condos in downtown Austin and in other areas of Austin;  The W condos are the most rock and roll we’ve seen thus far!  If you are interested in scheduling an appointment to view the W or any of the others, the Austonian, the 555, the Four Seasons, the 360, or Milago, call Bob at 512-699-0786

Home Sales on the Rise

According to USA Today and the National Association of Realtors, home sales are on the rise.  In fact, we should expect expect to see a steady rise in home sales in Austin.  If you have been waiting to put your home on the market, now is the time.  Real Estate in Austin has fared better than the rest of the country, so summer home sales in Austin should be strong. 

Call Austin’s Go To Team for specific Austin real estate statistics and analysis.  We have experience in North Austin real estate, South Austin real estate, and anywhere in between.

Mortgage REITs on a Tear as High Yields Fuel Demand

From the Wall Street Journal

A few years ago, real-estate investment trusts that bought and sold residential-mortgage securities were a dying breed. Today, they are one of the hottest REIT sectors in the industry.

Of nine new REITs that have applied to sell stock in initial public offerings so far this year, seven are REITs that will invest in mortgage-backed securities, according to Dealogic Inc. The value of the offerings totals $2.6 billion, the largest amount devoted to mortgage REITs since 2009, when a flurry of investment companies set up REITs to scoop up battered commercial mortgage-backed securities.

The current batch of mortgage REITs will dabble in the residential market, at least initially, to take advantage of strong investment demand for the high-yielding securities.

The contenders include Pacific Investment Management Co., a unit of Allianz SE and one of the world’s largest bond investors, which plans to sell $600 million in shares of Pimco REIT Inc. Other offerings include a $500 million deal by American Capital Mortgage Investment Corp. and a $300 million offering for Putnam Mortgage Opportunities Co.

Many mortgage REITs went out of business during the real-estate crisis because they were virtually locked out of the credit markets, making it hard to refinance debt and make loans to borrowers.

A number of money managers have started funds to invest in mortgages in the past year, but those investments target large institutional investors. The mortgage REITs will target retail investors and consumers who are looking for an alternative to a plain-vanilla bond fund. At the same time, mortgage REITs that principally invest in agency mortgage-backed securities have raised at least $6.6 billion in equity since December, according to a recent report by Barclays Capital.

“There are investors … who want to buy into these kinds of investment vehicles who don’t have access” to a large bond fund because the minimum investments are very high, said Ron Sturzenegger, managing director and global head of real-estate, gambling and lodging investment banking for Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

The growing interest in mortgage securities reflects perceptions that prices for current securities—which have been rising in recent months from the distressed levels reached during the financial crisis—will continue to move higher in the years ahead.

At the same time, interest rates set on new mortgages in the future are expected to be higher than current levels, in part because private banks are expected to play a more significant role in the mortgage market while the role of government-supported Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac likely will be reduced. Some economists argue that the presence of Fannie and Freddie in the market keeps mortgage rates artificially low.

“We believe the current level of government involvement in the U.S. residential-mortgage market is not sustainable and that, over time, agency support may be significantly reduced and replaced by private capital,” Pimco said in its IPO filing last week. This “presents an attractive opportunity for us to implement our business objective.”

To be sure, while mortgage overhaul is likely to curtail Fannie and Freddie’s influence at some point, it remains uncertain exactly how long that will take.

“The government has been moving very cautiously as to not interrupt a large market and any … proposal will probably take some time to develop,” says Calvin Schnure, vice president of research-industry information at the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or Nareit. “There’s not any quick solution.”

REITs were established in 1960 to give individuals a convenient way to invest in income-producing real estate. The investment vehicles, which typically focus on distinct areas of real estate, such as offices, retail properties or apartments, are required to pay at least 90% of their taxable income out as dividends.

Yield-hungry investors have gobbled up REIT stocks during the past two years because they offer higher dividend yields than other financial stocks and U.S. Treasurys. But dividend yields on residential-mortgage REITs have been especially large, averaging 14.6% as of Monday, compared with 3.5% for all REITs, according to Nareit.

Mortgage REITs have high dividend yields partly because the managers use high leverage, which can boost returns. The REITs use low-rate, short-term debt to finance their bond purchases.

“With … attractive mortgage yields and low financing costs, we are able to achieve a very good return even while paying the costs of substantial hedging to protect against interest-rate increases,” says Scott Ulm, co-chief executive of Armour Residential REIT Inc. in an interview.

Texas Home Building Healthy

 

TEXAS HOME BUILDING MARKETS HEALTHY, INDEX SHOWS

WASHINGTON, D.C. (Hanley Wood) – Texas housing markets are among the healthiest for home building, according to Hanley Wood Market Intelligence.

The firm’s Builder Market Health Index gives many Texas MSAs a market health indicator well above 50 out of 100 (50 being the minimum to be considered healthy).

Austin-Round Rock had a score of 86.5, second only to Raleigh-Cary, NC, which had 86.9.

Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown scored a 77.3, San Antonio a 75.6, Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington a 70.7 and El Paso a 65.8. Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood and McAllen-Edinburg-Mission each scored 54.5.

According to Hanley Wood, the index weighs housing conditions in the 100 largest home building markets based on the 2011 outlook for six key variables most associated with strong home sales. Those include unemployement rate, change in unemployment numbers, home price appreciation, household growth, job growth and median income growth.