Rates on 30- year mortgages fall below 4%- Again!

People, 30 year mortgage interest rates have fallen below 4% again.  If you are waiting for the bottom of the Austin real estate market, you probably won’t find it.  Most people don’t know the bottom has hit until it has already past. 

I think that home prices will increase over the next year, especially in the popular areas like Crestview, Travis Heights, Tarrytown, Bouldin, Allendale, Hyde Park, etc.  I also think home prices will increase in Circle C, Avery Ranch, Steiner Ranch, and some of the other large communities.

I just did some quick math on a 30 year FHA loan.  This is a rough estimate, and you need to talk to a lender about actual numbers… I happen to know some lenders that can help.  BUT, let’s image you purchase a home in Austin for $280,000 (that’s about the average price). Let’s pretend you get an FHA loan for 30 years with 3.5% down payment and 4% interest rate, you would have a rough payment (principle, interest, taxes, and insurance) of $2303 per month.  Doing the same math at 5% interest rate, it would roughly be $2465.  That’s a savings of $162 per month or $1944 per year or $58,320 over the life of the loan.  So I ask, What are you waiting for?!

Those people that want to sell their homes can make up losses on price by buying low at a low interest rate.  Call Bob at 512-699-0786

Low Interest Rates

I was on BankRate.com today to check out the interest rates on 30 year mortgages, and they seem to be even lower than they have been.  The site quoted 4.42% on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage.  I know people are still nervous about buying and selling real estate, but it just seems silly to me.  Of course, there are exceptions, but Austin has a great real estate market.  Austin has a great job market compared to the rest of the nation. 

It’s time to sell your home and move up or move down or move all around.  Call me to get started.  Bob 512-699-0786

Mortgage REITs on a Tear as High Yields Fuel Demand

From the Wall Street Journal

A few years ago, real-estate investment trusts that bought and sold residential-mortgage securities were a dying breed. Today, they are one of the hottest REIT sectors in the industry.

Of nine new REITs that have applied to sell stock in initial public offerings so far this year, seven are REITs that will invest in mortgage-backed securities, according to Dealogic Inc. The value of the offerings totals $2.6 billion, the largest amount devoted to mortgage REITs since 2009, when a flurry of investment companies set up REITs to scoop up battered commercial mortgage-backed securities.

The current batch of mortgage REITs will dabble in the residential market, at least initially, to take advantage of strong investment demand for the high-yielding securities.

The contenders include Pacific Investment Management Co., a unit of Allianz SE and one of the world’s largest bond investors, which plans to sell $600 million in shares of Pimco REIT Inc. Other offerings include a $500 million deal by American Capital Mortgage Investment Corp. and a $300 million offering for Putnam Mortgage Opportunities Co.

Many mortgage REITs went out of business during the real-estate crisis because they were virtually locked out of the credit markets, making it hard to refinance debt and make loans to borrowers.

A number of money managers have started funds to invest in mortgages in the past year, but those investments target large institutional investors. The mortgage REITs will target retail investors and consumers who are looking for an alternative to a plain-vanilla bond fund. At the same time, mortgage REITs that principally invest in agency mortgage-backed securities have raised at least $6.6 billion in equity since December, according to a recent report by Barclays Capital.

“There are investors … who want to buy into these kinds of investment vehicles who don’t have access” to a large bond fund because the minimum investments are very high, said Ron Sturzenegger, managing director and global head of real-estate, gambling and lodging investment banking for Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

The growing interest in mortgage securities reflects perceptions that prices for current securities—which have been rising in recent months from the distressed levels reached during the financial crisis—will continue to move higher in the years ahead.

At the same time, interest rates set on new mortgages in the future are expected to be higher than current levels, in part because private banks are expected to play a more significant role in the mortgage market while the role of government-supported Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac likely will be reduced. Some economists argue that the presence of Fannie and Freddie in the market keeps mortgage rates artificially low.

“We believe the current level of government involvement in the U.S. residential-mortgage market is not sustainable and that, over time, agency support may be significantly reduced and replaced by private capital,” Pimco said in its IPO filing last week. This “presents an attractive opportunity for us to implement our business objective.”

To be sure, while mortgage overhaul is likely to curtail Fannie and Freddie’s influence at some point, it remains uncertain exactly how long that will take.

“The government has been moving very cautiously as to not interrupt a large market and any … proposal will probably take some time to develop,” says Calvin Schnure, vice president of research-industry information at the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, or Nareit. “There’s not any quick solution.”

REITs were established in 1960 to give individuals a convenient way to invest in income-producing real estate. The investment vehicles, which typically focus on distinct areas of real estate, such as offices, retail properties or apartments, are required to pay at least 90% of their taxable income out as dividends.

Yield-hungry investors have gobbled up REIT stocks during the past two years because they offer higher dividend yields than other financial stocks and U.S. Treasurys. But dividend yields on residential-mortgage REITs have been especially large, averaging 14.6% as of Monday, compared with 3.5% for all REITs, according to Nareit.

Mortgage REITs have high dividend yields partly because the managers use high leverage, which can boost returns. The REITs use low-rate, short-term debt to finance their bond purchases.

“With … attractive mortgage yields and low financing costs, we are able to achieve a very good return even while paying the costs of substantial hedging to protect against interest-rate increases,” says Scott Ulm, co-chief executive of Armour Residential REIT Inc. in an interview.

A Call for Austin Real Estate Investors

I am seeing some great deals on multi-family properties in and around the Austin area.  These properties look to be in pretty good shape and might only require minimum maintenance.

The Austin occupancy rate is steady at about 95% .  It is time to invest in Austin Real Estate!

If you or someone you know is interested in owning investment property in the Austin area, call Bob today at 512-699-0786.

Buy a Home. Now!

If HE Says It Is Time To Buy a Home, BUY A HOME!

“If you don’t own a home, buy one. If you own one home, buy another one. And if you own two homes, buy a third and lend your relatives the money to buy one.”

– John Paulson 9/27/2010

WOW! That’s a powerful statement.

There is no question that John Paulson is a bull when it comes to residential real estate right now. Should we care what Mr. Paulson thinks? Should we listen to him? The answer to both questions is a resounding ‘YES’. Here are several reasons why.

Who is John Paulson?

Paulson is the person who made a fortune betting that the subprime mortgage mess would cause the the real estate market to collapse. He understands how the housing market works and knows when to buy and when to sell. What do others think of Paulson?

According to Forbes John Paulson is:

a multibillionaire hedge fund operator and the investment genius who made a killing going short subprime mortgages a few years ago.

According to the Wall Street Journal Paulson is:

a hedge fund tycoon who made his name, and a fortune, betting against subprime mortgages when no one else even knew what they were.

What did other financial players think of his statement?

The Wall Street Journal agrees with Paulson:

Ignore the critics. The odds have to be on his side…It isn’t just that home prices have fallen a long way. It’s also that, if you can get a mortgage, you are basically taking a reverse bet on the bond market. You could be a long-term borrower at fixed rates, instead of a long-term lender. Right now you can borrow for 30 years at around 4.3%. After the mortgage tax deduction, for some people the net effective interest rate is nearer to 3%. That’s going to prove an awesome deal if we see inflation again.

And Forbes said:

As this is the best time in 50 years to buy homes, Paulson advised his listeners to take 30 year mortgages to buy a home as “your debt and interest payments get locked in at record lows, while the price of your home will rise.”

Are others also saying now is the time to buy?

Just last week, we posted that there is a growing number of people saying that NOW is the time to buy, including:

The Wall Street Journal

Professor Karl Case, founder of the Case Shiller House Pricing Index

The wealthiest families in the country and

70% of everyone else in America

Bottom Line

Thinking of buying a home? Are you taking advice from a friend or family member telling you that now is not the time? It may be time to listen to people who better understand the opportunities that exist in real estate today.Austin's Real Estate Go To Team

Downtown Condo For 130K??

Is anyone interested in a downtown condo approx 650 sq feet for $129K?

You should be prepared to put between at least 10-15% down.  HOA is $250 per month.

This condo will probably be under contract by the end of the week.  Call or email me today to schedule a showing.

Austin Ranked 3rd Most Recession Resistant City

Austin - Austin's Real Estate Go To TeamIn April of 2008, Austin was ranked the third most recession proof city by Forbes because of a lack of a housing bubble, low median home price, low unemployment, and strong job growth segments that would recover more quickly. Plus, Austin was known as “Silicon Hills” for its growing tech sector industries.

Now, over two years later, the Brookings Institute has released their quarterly in-depth analysis which also ranks Austin the third most recession proof city in the U.S.

The Brookings Institute analyzes the health of America’s 100 largest metropolitan economies. It examines trends in metropolitan-level employment, output, and housing conditions to look “beneath the hood” of national economic statistics to portray the diverse metropolitan trajectories of recession and recovery across the country. MetroMonitor looks at the particular industries that drive national economic trends, and takes into account metro areas’ unique starting points for eventual recovery.
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