NOW Is Time to Buy Real Estate in Central Texas: The Top Ten Reasons

Great Thanks to John McClellan for the blog piece. He is one of the biggies in the mortgage business, so if you are looking to buy/refi call me and I will put you in touch with him!

Your grandfather always said, “Real estate is about location.” Well, I am here to tell you, first, that it is about “timing in specific locations” and, second, why the timing for Central Texas is NOW.

(1) Interest rates are at historical lows:

Mortgage rates have been holding steady at historical lows for the last couple of months; however, this is not sustainable. With the start of QE2 and with multiple signs of inflation emerging in the food and energy sectors, I believe that these rates will be rising in the near future. Not only does a low rate help on the affordability side of homeownership but it also plays a large part in the ROI of investment homes and the level of leverage needed.

(2) We are in a post-bubble market going into the winter months:

Real estate is like a roller coaster, and it is all about timing the bottom. In my opinion, this winter will be that bottom in the current cycle; and, although we can never perfectly time a bottom, prices in all likelihood will increase as the spring and summer buying seasons begin in 2011.

(3) Rental rates in the Austin area are rising:

Rentals are in short supply in the Austin metro area; and, with no significant multifamily projects planned in the near term and SFR permits at record lows, future supply will remain tight, thereby increasing the rental rates.

(4) Central Texas is experiencing a high rate of migration from other states:

During the last few years Central Texas has been adding 30,000-50,000 to its population as people from other states flock to Texas with the hope of finding a better job environment. A quick check of the U-Haul Index shows greatly increased rental rates for moves to Texas, which a 2009 Forbes study has ranked first for economic climate.

(5) Central Texas is one of the few places in the country that is adding jobs to the local economy:

Austin’s job growth for September 2010 was 2.3 percent, which is the highest growth rate among major cities in the United States. Moreover, Austin’s unemployment rate dropped to 6.8 percent from 7.2 percent last year. Low taxes and a pro-business stance from the local government is attracting many companies to this area.

(6) QE2 will be an inflation concern in the near future:

It is not a question of if but a question of when- QE2 will lead to inflation nationwide as the Fed injects $600 billion more into the system. In fact, one of the Fed’s directives is to create inflation. Smart investors are aware of this, and we only have to look at the latest price of metals like gold and silver to see a flight toward protection. Real estate—quality real estate—can also be a safe harbor from inflation.

(7) Signs indicate that multifamily existing home sales are exploding:

September 2010 home sales for 2-, 3-, and 4-unit homes rose 58 percent from the previous year; as of the writing of this article there were 64 pending and 70 active listings, thus making the supply side about one month’s worth of inventory. This is a sign that those with cash and looking to protect that cash are starting to come off the fence.

(8) Rental rates in the Austin market have created a floor on SFR sales prices locally:

Rental rates play an important role in the minds of potential buyers. I believe that buyers have incentive either to buy or not to buy. The incentive may be socially driven by the buyer’s perception of the market and what the conventional wisdom is, or the incentive may be financial in nature and driven by an equal choice. Given a choice of the same payment for either renting or owning, most would choose homeownership, given the availability of down payment. (Central Texas has a zero-down program available for a majority of buyers.) Central Texas rental rates in the median price range are comparable to what a mortgage payment would be for the same house.

(9) Banks are willing to negotiate with sellers and buyers for short sales:

The robo-signing disaster plaguing national banks may have created a short-term window of opportunity for investors and homeowners looking to negotiate a short sale. Because banks are holding onto homes and keeping them off the courthouse steps, they may be more willing to negotiate during this moratorium.

(10) The masses are afraid to buy right now:

Warren Buffett once said, “We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.” Buffet is saying this: You don’t want to be a lemming, don’t follow the masses, and make your own educated decisions about the timing of real estate.

Top 10 Things Buyers Should NOT Do before Applying for a Home Loan.

Top 10 Things Buyers Should NOT Do before Applying for a Home Loan.

Today’s tightened lending market can be so daunting  that it’s enough to keep potential borrowers from even thinking of buying a home. Buyers need the best possible credit report and score. But how many of them know they inadvertently could be hurting their chances of getting approved by doing certain things in the months before applying for a loan? To make sure that doesn’t happen to your buyers, share this list of the Top 10 Things NOT to Do.

1.Closing Accounts

If buyers want their credit score to plummet faster than a B-list celebrity’s status, simply have them close some of their accounts. A lot of people think that closing an account that is paid off or barely used is a good thing, but this is not true. The credit scoring system isn’t built around common sense. When an account is closed, it cuts away at their available credit and also increases their debt to credit ratio. As a rule of thumb, don’t close accounts, especially if they have a high available balance. Simply pay off the balance and leave the account open. If possible, keep the account active by making small purchases every now and then simply to report history. It is a good idea to close accounts only when their available credit is low and if they’re new accounts. It is especially good to close accounts if the above criteria match and the cards have a high interest rate or charge annual fees.

2. Not Using Credit Cards

A lot of the credit card companies are closing accounts that aren’t being used. That’s right; they’re taking on a use-it or lose-it mentality. In these economic times, credit card companies are afraid of just letting anybody sit on a pile of credit. If your buyers have an account that has a lot of history, it is a good idea to keep that account active by encouraging them to use it every so often.

3. Keeping High Balances

Lenders look for people who use credit just right. Not too much and not too little. People who have high balances on their card are a red flag to lenders. It shows they are strapped for cash and are having a hard time making payments.

4. Repeatedly Applying for New Credit

So should clients say yes to every credit offer then? Not exactly. Repeatedly applying for new credit hurts your buyers’ credit scores in two ways First, by opening new accounts, they are decreasing the average age of their credit history. Lenders like people who have a long history of borrowing and paying back on time. And second, credit scores take a hit with every hard inquiry. If your clients get multiple hard inquiries in a very short amount of time, they can start making the lenders very suspicious. A lot of banks and credit card companies try to avoid people who have histories of applying for many things at once, as if desperate. But buyers don’t have to worry that loan shopping will mess up their credit. Multiple hard inquiries on your report within a 45-day window are considered the same as one inquiry.

5. Not Paying Fines or Credit Card Bills

Not paying old fees can have a negative impact on credit scores as well. That’s right, not paying library charges and other minor things such as parking tickets could all end up on a credit report. If your buyers are not paying their credit card bills, tell them that information is being reported to the credit agencies and they are only hurting themselves. Call up the credit card company and work something out with them.

6. Ignoring Errors

If there are any errors on their credit report, correct them quickly as it could take up to 90 days to get changes made. Once buyers have successfully disputed and removed negative items from their credit report, tell them to wait a few months and then order another copy to verify the updates and see if their score improves. Buyers can order a copy of their report directly from one of the three credit bureaus or can get a free copy of by going to www.annualcreditreport.com. They are entitled to a free one each year, but beware of services that charge monthly membership fees.

7. Making Late Payments

Paying late and missing payments will ensure that your buyers’ credit scores drop. With all the technology available, there’s no reason to mail in a payment four days before the due date. Simply make the payment online, free, from the bank, or from the creditor’s site.

8. Being Self Employed

Many banks won’t even touch buyers if they are self employed. Encourage your clients to consider incorporating.

9. Waiting to Receive Gifts

If buyers will be receiving a gift for their down payment, get it now. If they want to buy a house in August, make sure their funds are available by the end of May. If their funds show up within two months of their loan application, they will have to verify where the money came from. If they had to borrow the down payment, the lender will consider this as additional debt that will affect their debt to income ratio.

10. Forgetting Paperwork

Many people often do not submit the full set of documents, making the processing of the loan very difficult. Each missing item will delay the home loan approval. The best strategy is to meet with the lenderonce to turn over the paperwork and not have to field any follow up questions later on. Once all that advice is heeded, REALTORS and buyers can shop together confidently.

Buy a Home. Now!

If HE Says It Is Time To Buy a Home, BUY A HOME!

“If you don’t own a home, buy one. If you own one home, buy another one. And if you own two homes, buy a third and lend your relatives the money to buy one.”

– John Paulson 9/27/2010

WOW! That’s a powerful statement.

There is no question that John Paulson is a bull when it comes to residential real estate right now. Should we care what Mr. Paulson thinks? Should we listen to him? The answer to both questions is a resounding ‘YES’. Here are several reasons why.

Who is John Paulson?

Paulson is the person who made a fortune betting that the subprime mortgage mess would cause the the real estate market to collapse. He understands how the housing market works and knows when to buy and when to sell. What do others think of Paulson?

According to Forbes John Paulson is:

a multibillionaire hedge fund operator and the investment genius who made a killing going short subprime mortgages a few years ago.

According to the Wall Street Journal Paulson is:

a hedge fund tycoon who made his name, and a fortune, betting against subprime mortgages when no one else even knew what they were.

What did other financial players think of his statement?

The Wall Street Journal agrees with Paulson:

Ignore the critics. The odds have to be on his side…It isn’t just that home prices have fallen a long way. It’s also that, if you can get a mortgage, you are basically taking a reverse bet on the bond market. You could be a long-term borrower at fixed rates, instead of a long-term lender. Right now you can borrow for 30 years at around 4.3%. After the mortgage tax deduction, for some people the net effective interest rate is nearer to 3%. That’s going to prove an awesome deal if we see inflation again.

And Forbes said:

As this is the best time in 50 years to buy homes, Paulson advised his listeners to take 30 year mortgages to buy a home as “your debt and interest payments get locked in at record lows, while the price of your home will rise.”

Are others also saying now is the time to buy?

Just last week, we posted that there is a growing number of people saying that NOW is the time to buy, including:

The Wall Street Journal

Professor Karl Case, founder of the Case Shiller House Pricing Index

The wealthiest families in the country and

70% of everyone else in America

Bottom Line

Thinking of buying a home? Are you taking advice from a friend or family member telling you that now is not the time? It may be time to listen to people who better understand the opportunities that exist in real estate today.Austin's Real Estate Go To Team

Homes for Hero’s!

Bank of America has a “Homes for Hero’s” program that benefits the people that work hard to ensure our safety.

If you are a Peace Officer, Fireman, Corrections Officer, County Jailer, Public Security Officer or Emergency Medical Service personnel and you are looking to buy a home, this program might be for you!

There are certain eligibility requirements as well as income limits that are required.  For more information on this program call Bob at 512-699-0786.

Downtown Condo For 130K??

Is anyone interested in a downtown condo approx 650 sq feet for $129K?

You should be prepared to put between at least 10-15% down.  HOA is $250 per month.

This condo will probably be under contract by the end of the week.  Call or email me today to schedule a showing.

How Do I Know When It’s a Good Time To Buy?

I’ve been asked similar questions from many home buyers asking if this is the right time for them to make the big move into a home. I would like to shout from the rooftops that this is a GREAT time to buy a home. Of course, each person and situation is different, but a lot of people couldn’t ask for a better time.

As the old adage goes, ‘Buy Low and Sell High.’  Well, the housing market is certainly low. Foreclosures, Short Sales, and limited pool of buyers have brought housing prices down in a lot of areas around Austin. Now is the time to negotiate. [Read more...]

Austin Ranked 3rd Most Recession Resistant City

Austin - Austin's Real Estate Go To TeamIn April of 2008, Austin was ranked the third most recession proof city by Forbes because of a lack of a housing bubble, low median home price, low unemployment, and strong job growth segments that would recover more quickly. Plus, Austin was known as “Silicon Hills” for its growing tech sector industries.

Now, over two years later, the Brookings Institute has released their quarterly in-depth analysis which also ranks Austin the third most recession proof city in the U.S.

The Brookings Institute analyzes the health of America’s 100 largest metropolitan economies. It examines trends in metropolitan-level employment, output, and housing conditions to look “beneath the hood” of national economic statistics to portray the diverse metropolitan trajectories of recession and recovery across the country. MetroMonitor looks at the particular industries that drive national economic trends, and takes into account metro areas’ unique starting points for eventual recovery.
[Read more...]